Muncie Central
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #119
New Haven Semi-State Rank #34
Delta Regional Rank #6
Delta Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 30.0%
Advance to Regional 96.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run County Clash Challenge Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational North Central Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/17 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 950 889 932 1,003 916 879 1,034 1,002 916 974 1,052 1,095
Team Adjusted Rating 889 932 1,003 916 879 1,034 1,002 916 872 1,052 1,095
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run County Clash Challenge Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational North Central Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
661  Gabe Reynolds 11 17:59 17:40 17:23 18:03 17:32 17:56 18:01 17:51 17:57 18:04 17:55 18:42 18:01 18:16
810  Hayden Bradford 10 18:14 16:59 18:14 18:34 18:33 18:14 18:11 18:16 18:10 18:05 17:49 17:54 20:32
999  Chet Clark 10 18:29 18:25 18:31 18:00 18:19 18:25 18:20 18:59 18:39 18:32 18:22 18:48 18:21
1,082  Daelin Green 11 18:35 18:43 17:54 17:49 18:52 18:07 17:47 19:00 19:23 18:14 19:21 18:50
1,152  Brandon Musick 12 18:41 19:17 19:08 19:18 19:20 18:50 18:44 18:53 18:26 18:37 18:18 18:29 18:28
Jacob TYLER 9 19:52 20:12 19:59 19:55 19:56 19:52 20:04 19:36 19:40 19:51 19:44 20:06
Reggie Reynolds 9 20:33 20:40 20:59 20:31 20:38 19:56 20:17 20:07 20:13 21:54 21:04
Justin Baldwin 10 21:30 21:28 21:40 21:59 21:45 21:28 21:54 20:39 21:51 20:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 30.0% 19.6 515 0.0 0.8 1.8 5.2 22.2
Regionals 96.9% 6.5 194 0.1 30.0 26.3 17.3 10.8 7.6 4.9
Sectionals 100% 3.1 110 33.1 34.7 19.8 9.4 2.7 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Reynolds 59.6% 122.4 42.2% 52.0%
Hayden Bradford 33.0% 135.3 4.2% 9.9%
Chet Clark 30.1% 148.1 0.1% 0.5%
Daelin Green 30.0% 151.8 0.0% 0.1%
Brandon Musick 30.0% 154.1 0.0% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Reynolds 100% 33.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.0 100.0% 100.0%
Hayden Bradford 100% 40.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Chet Clark 99.4% 49.5 80.9% 98.9%
Daelin Green 98.8% 53.2 60.2% 96.8%
Brandon Musick 97.9% 57.0 31.7% 91.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Reynolds 11.7 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.5 4.8 6.6 7.5 8.2 9.2 8.8 8.5 8.0 7.8 6.1 4.7 3.8 3.0 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2
Hayden Bradford 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.4 4.6 5.2 6.8 8.2 8.5 9.3 8.7 8.7 7.9 6.6 4.8 4.2 2.8
Chet Clark 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.8 5.2 6.2 7.6 9.6 9.5 10.8
Daelin Green 26.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.3 4.5 5.8 7.7 9.0
Brandon Musick 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.7 2.9 4.3 6.1